Since 2000, there have been only two WRs listed at 57 or shorter to record at least one season of 600 receiving yards or more: Taylor Gabriel and Andrew Hawkins. At the end of the day, Smith dropped a tier in my overall rankings but still ranks as my WR2 in this class. Players with one or the other (with production mattering more than athleticism) were somewhere in between. SPARQ's headquarters was in Portland, Oregon, with a distribution center in Oconomowoc, Wisconsin, until its sale to Nike in 2009 (Nike kept the distribution center open in Oconomowoc until March 2010). By Speed Score Pitts 130.7 ranks 2nd-best (behind Davis), while Harris moves to 29th-best since 2000. John Bates weight-adjusted 3-Cone ranks 22nd-best since 2000. Jaelon Darden (ADP: WR19) posted a 18.3 SPORQ score. Among TEs, Harris also ranks 2nd-best since 2000 in the broad jump and 6th-best in the vert. That said, its also far from irrelevant. If his frame can handle the weight and build on his strength, he might, turn into something. Okudah is clearly the top corner and will be among my top non-quarterback prospects this season C.J. Danny Pinter, Damien Lewis, and Matt Hennessy looked good out there But its important to remember that athleticism is a very small portion of an interior linemans total evaluation. Man, what an absolute freak of nature. Red Zone Target Share measures the percentage of all passing targets from a line of scrimmage at or inside the 20-yard line directed at a particular wide receiver or tight end in games that the receiver was involved in the passing attack. Air Yards for quarterbacks, Air Yards is the total throw depth, and Completed Air Yards is total passing yards minus yards after the catch. For QBs, PlayerProfiler adds a height premium. SPARQ does a great job of analyzing overall athleticism, but I showed how little it means for projecting NFL success here. A.J. Really intrigued by him. The scouts are on to him and I believe he had great workout numbers. Overall, this offensive tackle class is awesome, especially at the top All of the first round prospects finished as above-average athletes, including Mekhi Becton (100th percentile) and Tristan Wirfs (97th) who were breathtakingly fast for their size. Scott Barrett combines a unique background in philosophy and investing alongside a lifelong love of football and spreadsheets to serve as FantasyPoints Director of Analytics and Lead DFS Writer. Hes reached at least 50 yards in 20 of his 24 games over this span, and his 3.11 YPRR average in 2020 ranked 6th-best in this class. And he also has projected draft capital working in his favor (WR7, Round 2). Ben Masons 29 bench press reps ranks 9th-most since 2000. This metric is a window into the vertically-oriented nature of a quarterbacks offensive system. Hes one of the rare outside WRs in this class, with 100% of his career receiving yards coming out wide. 40-yard Dash for quarterbacks and tight ends, any 40-yard dash under 4.70 seconds is considered fast. Good stuff Chowder. Jackson (24.2 BMI) is also the only WR to post a BMI below 24.5 and record a 1,000-yard season. Positive values indicate that a player is more efficient than the average player, while negative values indicate that a player is less efficient than his peers with similar opportunities in similar situations. Im still trying to figure out why my Pre-Combine model liked Anthony Schwartz so much (Pre-Combine WR11). The average NFL player is pretty athletic, so this designation is not at all a poor result. WebWelcome to Relative Athletic Scores! High week-to-week volatility negatively impacts standard league formats that require lineups to be manually set each week. Ill typically penalize a player for not participating in their Pro Day, but the shoulder injury is a legitimate concern (causing him to miss five games last year), so I chose not to in this instance. Tremble is fairly athletic, posting a 76.3 SPORQ score, but isnt quite on Kittles level. This would rank tied with Marshall for 2nd-best since 2000. Fantasy Points Per Target measures wide receiver and tight end fantasy points in the context of the players opportunities. Metcalf. After an elite showing at his Pro Day, recording a class-high 98.0 SPORQ score, I like Chase even more now, and I didnt even think that could be possible. Base Front - seven defenders in the box. Note 2: Much is made over the fact that Pro Day numbers are typically much better than the numbers that same player will post at the Combine. For perspective, fellow Division II WRs Adam Thielen, Tyreek Hill, and John Brown never eclipsed 100.0 YPG in a single season, Imatorbhebhe is a 23.0-year-old former 4-star recruit, who transferred to Illinois from USC after coming away with just two catches in three injury-plagued seasons. Accuracy Rating grades the accuracy each of throw on a 1-10 scale. Since 2000, weve never seen a WR listed at 57 or shorter get drafted before Round 4, and those who were drafted (at all) were never meaningful contributors for fantasy. Expected Points Added (EPA) measures the value of individual plays by calculating the expected points scored based on the down, distance, and field position situation at the start of a play and contrasting it with the situation at the end of the play. Hand Size data presented by John Bales fromFantasy Labs showed a relationship between hand size and quarterback performance, particularly in cold weather conditions. In other words, for a particular game to count against his fantasy points per game, he must have had a passing attempt, carry, or target. Thanks for sharing. The best score in the history of the NFL was Harvard graduate Ryan Fitzpatricks 48. Kenny Yeboah strained his hamstring on his 40-yard-dash run, so I have him listed as a DNQ (Did Not Qualify). Trevor Lawrence averaged 8.1 rushing FPG and 39.9 rushing YPG over his last two seasons at Clemson. Is there a player youd like to check that you cant find on the site? But no hes not anywhere close to becoming a replacement one day for Vince. Burn Rate -Percentage of targets allowed in which the defensive back's assigned receiver gained more than 5 yards of downfield separation. Elijah Mitchell ran a 4.33 40-yard-dash at his Pro Day. He needs to be viewed as an A.J. Speed Score Bill Barnwell first posited the metric in Pro Football Prospectus to better predict running back success. The width of the box is the distance between the outer shoulder of right and the outer shoulder of the left tackle. Harris 6.51 3-Cone is the best mark ever recorded by a TE, and would rank 2nd-best among RBs (just ahead of Christian McCaffrey) and 7th-best among WRs. He'd be a good candidate to send to Deebo. This means that a 0.0 z-score and This means that a 0.0 z Thats also a major red flag. 1-3 representing the most errand throw, 4-7 representing throws in some range of catchable but sub-optimal, and 8-10 representing the most pinpoint passes allowing receivers to convert receptions and gain yards after the catch. Elite athleticism and has the production. The formulas for Adjusted SPARQ change by position -- and sometimes even within positions (RB, WR, DT, EDGE) -- to put the proper weight on the athletic traits that have historically been better at predicting success in the NFL. His incredible flexion might just be the thing that sets him apart. A pace above 2.50 is considered a very fast pace and under 2.00 is a very slow pace. Chris Evans (ADP: RB18) wasnt too far behind (88.6), and Jake Funk ranked right behind Evans (83.8). Several other RBs, including Patterson, Felton, and Javian Hawkins, among others, were also penalized due to a low playing weight, but none quite on the level of Williams. For example, the athletic traits a corner needs (speed, agility) are a lot different than the athletic traits a defensive tackle needs (burst, strength), but the SPARQ formula doesnt change based on position. A comprehensive review of the rationale behind the VOS metric is available here: Introducing: Value Over Stream (VOS). Reportedly, Harris has been clocked at 4.45 in the 40-yard-dash and 3.7 in the short shuttle. Metcalf (12.97), Chase Claypool (124.7), and Jazz Ferguson (115.8) since 2016. This sheet will be updated throughout the draft. The three other WRs all dropped in my rankings, but, interestingly, none fell too far. Going to look into him a bit more, but he played against weak competition. All four WRs are expected to be off the board by the end of Round 3. Note 1: Big shoutout to the great Dane Brugler and his 2021 NFL Draft Guide, which you can find here. My Pre-Combine model viewed JaMarr Chase as the best WR prospect since at least 2015. His placement in mocks goes from top ten to second round. Yards Created originated by Graham Barfield on his Fantasy Game Theory blog, his "Introduction to Yards Created"piece defines yards created as all yards generated above and beyond what was blocked. This means that a 0.0 z-score and 50.0 percentile w. WebThis week the NFL Draft 2021: The Latest Picks and Analysis; An analysis on Kwity Paye; The Kansas City Chiefs return to the Super Bowl for the first time since 1969; Chicago Breakout Age the younger a person is when he/she first becomes a leader in their respective field, the more likely that person is to go on to become *phenom*enal at their craft. Hes jumped from WR9 in my rankings to WR7. Albert O was the only tight end to finish above the 75th percentile level Hunter Bryant, Harrison Bryant, and Jared Pinkney watched their stocks drop with sub-20th percentile athleticism. Fellow Auburn WR Seth Williams SPORQ score was solid (69.5), but he jumped in my rankings primarily due to a miscalculation in Phase I of my model. The formulas for Adjusted SPARQ change by position -- and sometimes even within positions (RB, WR) -- to put the proper weight on the athletic traits that have historically been better at predicting success in the NFL. Waddle is still recovering from the injury (a high ankle sprain plus fracture, which required surgery) that caused him to miss a bulk of the 2020 season. This results in a measure of a players speed that also incorporates a premium on both body weight and body length. Definitely deserves a closer look. Basically, Harris is a rich mans Jeff Janis. Going from his interview to the moody mess that is Jachai Polite really made Burns look so much better. Athleticism isnt super important for QBs outside of what it means for their Konami Code-potential, but that can be a massive factor. You can find that stat and our historical Combine database here. For calculation purposes, power ball throw wasconverted into bench press to ensure that all input factors aligned with specificNFL Scouting Combine events. And Smith surely does not have Jacksons 4.35 wheels. He had turned 18 just three days prior. Travis Etienne (95.0) actually deserves a significant boost up my rankings. His 40-time (4.44), 3-Cone (6.85), and broad jump (128.0) were solid, but much less impressive at his size (97.3 Speed Score), and his lack of size (189 pounds, 25.2) surely played a role in his unexpectedly low score. Note that the NFL% and z-score columns refer to the NFL positional averages and not to the draft positional averages. on the spreadsheet, to look up the combine numbers, etc. Who has the most serious red flags? That completion may be unlikely to lead to any points for his team, but if the quarterbacks team is leading, it increases the win probability enabling the leading team to run out the clock. Their time is measured in seconds and transferred into SPARQ Points. SPARQ does a great job of analyzing overall athleticism, but I showed how little it means for projecting NFL success here. Both are elite times at his size (61, 232 pounds). Who moved up or down my board the most? Atwell ranked 8th in my Pre-Combine model, but I was certain hed fall during this phase of the process. For reference, Speed Score, 40-time, and the 3-Cone (in order) were the three most important events for shorter WRs. This metric is especially useful when examining the impact of a quarterback upgrade on a wide receivers future production. Green/Julio Jones level of prospect for fantasy. Looks explosive. Apr 21st 2022. That said, I dont think we should be trusting these numbers. The equation squares a players 40-time, 20-yard shuttle, and 3-cone and multiplies it by the square of a players height, arm length, and vertical jump. Copyright 2020 . Well built and very athletic. Worse yet, Smith is listed at 60 and 170 pounds. Stuffed Runs run plays netting zero or negative yardage. At 58, the numbers dont look much better either, with Cole Beasley being the most productive fantasy WR from that grouping. Slot Rate - the percentage of passing down snaps a wide receiver or tight end lines up in the slot. At the sound of the second beep the athlete must run back to the starting line, after which the third beep sounds a 10-second recovery period the athlete jogs or walks in a 5-meter zone before resuming position back to the starting line, for the next beep. Thats about as official as these numbers are going to get this year. Language links are at the top of the page across from the title. Jedrick Wills, Alabama OT: 2020 NFL Draft Profile - cleveland.com The Athletes in the 20-30 range possess solid functional intelligence. The pool of players included in the percentile ranks consists of those currently signed to active and futures contracts. Overall, this corner class is fine, but also includes a potentially rare top-five prospect Jeffrey Okudahs tape was phenomenal in my opinion -- go watch him against Clemson -- and he backed it up with 96th percentile Adjusted SPARQ athleticism. Ultimately, I have no choice but to penalize Smith, though whatever I decide to go with (a 15% reduction, a 25% reduction?) Jalen Camp (97.8), Simi Fehoko (93.6), Racey McMath (92.2), Michael Strachan (91.3), and Josh Imatorbhebhe (91.1) all posted elite SPARQ scores. In 2019, his redshirt junior-year, he averaged 7.1 receptions, 119.9 yards, and 1.73 touchdowns per game. Boyd, Felton, and Williams are now fully off my board. Similar in concept to Agility Score, Burst Score sums a players Vertical Jump height and Broad Jump distance. Snap Share The percentage of total offensive plays that the player was on the field for his team. Age is calculated for each player as of September 2020. Yo-Yo intermittent recovery test (beep test), "Nike SPARQ Training Ignites a revolution", "Rivals.com - SPARQ launches Pro Rating at NIKE Camps", "UF Asks company to take down Tebow's image", "SPARQ Magazine: Is Brian Clay the world's greatest athlete? Its a piece of the puzzle. Ezra Cleveland, Austin Jackson, Jedrick Wills, and Andrew Thomas were great athletes, too Joshua Jones was the only highly-respected OT prospect to finish as an average athlete, but he should still pass most athletic thresholds. During the Vertical Jump, an athlete must stand on a pad with some sort of compatible height measurer attached. For instance, last season, he ranked top-7 in both missed tackles forced per touch (0.30) and yards after contact per attempt (4.04). The Agility Shuttle is a shuttle run in which an athlete must run 5yards, touch an object or mark, proceed to run 10yards in the opposite direction and touch a second object or mark. and this is a very comprehensive list. The Big 3 RBs are all deserving of Round 1 picks in TE Premium Superflex Rookie Drafts. The total time taken until the two warnings are given, i.e. Javonte Williams (67.3), Kenneth Gainwell (51.8), and Michael Carter (62.2) all retain their rankings, though Gainwells score was a bit underwhelming. Amon-Ra St. Brown (ADP: WR8) posted a 39.2 SPORQ score. The metric is calculated by dividing total fantasy points by total targets. Because Nikes actual SPARQ formula is not public, we compared publicallyavailable SPARQ scores to their related input factors, reverse-engineered anapproximation of the SPARQ formula, and then applied the formula to eachplayers workout metrics. DISCLAIMER: This site and the products offered are for entertainment purposes only, and there is no gambling offered on this site. Follow our 2023 NFL Combine tracker, top performers, participants, live results and commentary. Dillon is a 97th percentile adjusted SPARQ athlete., Overall, this is a decent running back class in terms of depth J.K. Dobbins opted to not participate, but the other top prospects did (Jonathan Taylor, Cam Akers, DAndre Swift, and Clyde Edwards-Helaire) and they all finished as above-average Adjusted SPARQ athletes A.J. Tutu Atwell (ADP: WR16) posted a 38.3 SPORQ score, dropping from 69.6 after being heavily penalized due to an anomalously low weight (155 pounds) and low BMI (22.9). By raw 40-yard-dash, he ranks behind only Griffin (4.33), Michael Vick (4.33), and Reggie McNeal (4.40). Fehoko (64, 222 pounds) is the most-exciting of the bunch (WR15 in my rankings). Hes now my TE5, within the same tier as Jordan. After averaging 62.9 YPG in 2019, he bumped that up to 95.7 in 2020. Game Script - First defined by Chase Stuart on his Football Perspective blog in his "Introducing Game Scripts" piece, game scripts are the average point differential at any point in any game that season. Quarterbacks with a high deep ball percentage generally play in vertical passing attacks as opposed to systems that emphasize short, quick passes. 34.5% of the RBs in the 90th-100th percentile had at least one RB1 fantasy season. Expected Touchdown Differential the difference between expected and actual touchdowns scored. What do you guys think about Brian Burns? If weight-adjusted, he ranks 2nd-best among TEs since 2000. Tommy Tremble was missing from our Pre-Combine top-7. on the spreadsheets. Fantasy Points Per Attempt measures quarterback fantasy points in the context of passing opportunities by dividing total fantasy points by passing attempts. Williams was heavily penalized due to his low weight, at only 175 pounds (with a height of 5 8.5). WebDiscover the 2023 NFL Combine results here. Looks explosive. And he can add more to that frame if needed. He led Stanford in receiving yards last season, recording over twice as many as the next-closest receiver (33.3% YMS). Prior to the height-based adjustment, he ranked 6th-best. It factors weight into a players 40-yard dash time assigning a premium to fast times run by bigger, often spaner, running backs. Here are the results of the 2020 NFL Draft Class: How to read this: Khalil Davis is a 100th percentile Adjusted SPARQ athlete.. WebIf you scroll to the right, there is a weighted Athletic Profile column. Overall, the interior offensive linemen were solid, but Id be somewhat surprised if an interior lineman was selected within the top-20 picks Michigan C Cesar Ruiz testing in the 84th percentile should lock him into the top-3 in positional rankings, and there were a few risers, too. Juke Rate isolates a running backs elusiveness and tackle-breaking power by charting the number of broken, missed, and otherwise avoided tackles (displayed to the immediate left), and then dividing by the total number of touches (carries + receptions). If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, please call 1-800-GAMBLER. Stuck behind David Montgomery and then Breece Hall at Iowa State, Nwangwu didnt see very many touches (career-high 64 touches in 2020), but was efficient on those touches (5.2 career YPC). The SPARQ Rating was a sport-specific assessment of athleticism. Elijah Mitchell isnt too far behind (165.5), ranking 27th-best since 2000. Tremble has decent size (at 63, 241 pounds) and is easily the best run blocker in this class, but hes also a player every production model is going to miss on. Rondale Moores 6.68 ranks 50th-best. The best score in the history of the NFL was Harvard graduate Ryan Fitzpatricks 48. turn into something. However, hes 22.8 years old and never ranked higher than 4th on the team in receiving yards prior to last season, McMath was a one-year starter for LSU, understandably buried in the depth chart behind some elite WRs. Non-explosive athletes dont rush the passer (in general). " Tremendous lower-body flexion for 45-degree edge bend ". Note that the NFL% and z-score columns refer to the NFL positional averages and not to the draft positional averages. Still, his production profile is strong enough that he didnt at all fall in my rankings despite just missing the 50th percentile benchmark. By incorporating avolatility-relatedcoefficient, VOS is the evolutionary next step in Value-based Drafting (VBD) and provide ahelpful guidepost to be utilized during fantasy football drafts. WebThe SPARQ is a rating system designed to measure sport-specific athleticism. to get him working on his body - if relations weren't so strained Good stuff Chowder. This time is taken and put into "SPARQ Points", which were added to determine the athlete's overall rating. In fact, after failing to reach 20 catches in either of his two seasons, he didnt even meet the prerequisite thresholds to qualify for my Pre-Combine model. No guarantees are made for any specific outcome.